The Federalist/susquehanna Poll Toplines: November 1-9, 2021

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2225 Sycamore Street Harrisburg, PA 17111 Phone: (717) 233-8850 Email: [email protected] www.susquehannapolling.com James Lee, President

Top Line Survey Results – USA/National Public Opinion Survey The Federalist ~ Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. Interviews Conducted November 1-9, 2021 Sample Size: 800 Likely Voters THE FEDERALIST – TOP LINE RESULTS AND QUESTIONNAIRE Good morning/afternoon/evening, my name is (YOUR FIRST NAME). I am calling on behalf of Susquehanna Polling and Research a public opinion research firm. May I speak to (name on list) or another registered voter in your household? (If name on list or another registered voter is not available, TERMINATE) INTRODUCTION: We are conducting a survey of attitudes and opinions concerning some important issues facing the United States today. May we have just a few minutes of your time to complete a brief survey? Great, thank you… F1: Are you, or is any member of your household a reporter, journalist or employed by the media? 1. Yes 2. No

-800 (100%)

(TERMINATE) (PROCEED TO Q1)

Q1. Generally speaking, what is the single most important problem facing the United States today? That is, the one you’d like to see resolved by your federal elected officials in Washington, D.C.? (UNAIDED – DO NOT READ CHOICES) (List is Alpha) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20.

Biden, Joe/President COVID pandemic Crime/public safety Democratic politicians Deficits/federal spending Economy Gas/fuel prices Getting people back to work Inflation/rising cost of goods/services Illegal immigration Mandatory mask/vaccine policies News media Politicians/government Racism Republican politicians Taxes Terrorism Trump, D./former President Not Sure Other

27 42 74 15 20 61 17 56 10 36 22 0 135 15 10 24 0 6 150 78

03% 05% 09% 02% 03% 08% 02% 07% 01% 05% 03% 00% 17% 02% 01% 03% 00% 01% 19% 10%

Q2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President? (Test Intensity…) 1. Strongly approve 2. Somewhat approve Total Approve:

202 90 292

25% 11% 36%

3. Neither approve nor disapprove/Undecided

90

11%

4. Strongly disapprove 5. Somewhat disapprove Total Disapprove:

355 64 418

44% 08% 52%

Q3. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Biden is doing stopping illegal immigration at the Southern border? (Test Intensity…) 1. Strongly approve 2. Somewhat approve Total Approve:

73 109 182

09% 14% 23%

3. Neither approve nor disapprove/Undecided

213

27%

4. Strongly disapprove 5. Somewhat disapprove Total Disapprove:

320 85 405

40% 11% 51%

(Rotate Q4-Q5) Q4. What about the President’s job performance handling the COVID pandemic? (Test Intensity…) 1. Strongly approve 2. Somewhat approve Total Approve:

209 196 405

26% 24% 51%

3. Neither approve nor disapprove/Undecided

25

03%

4. Strongly disapprove 5. Somewhat disapprove Total Disapprove:

322 48 369

40% 06% 46%

6. Refuse

1

00%

Q5. What about the President’s job performance improving the economy? (Test Intensity…) 1. Strongly approve 2. Somewhat approve Total Approve:

114 158 272

14% 20% 34%

3. Neither approve nor disapprove/Undecided

117

15%

4. Strongly disapprove 5. Somewhat disapprove Total Disapprove:

363 47 410

45% 06% 51%

6. Refuse

1

00%

(Rotate Q6-Q8) Q6. Is your opinion of Speaker of the U.S. Congress Nancy Pelosi favorable, is it unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of her? (Test Intensity…) 1. Very favorable 2. Somewhat favorable Total Favorable:

97 104 201

12% 13% 25%

3. No opinion

118

15%

4. Very unfavorable 5. Somewhat unfavorable Total Unfavorable:

392 90 482

49% 11% 60%

Q7. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, is it unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him? (Test Intensity…) 1. Very favorable 2. Somewhat favorable Total Favorable:

144 186 330

18% 23% 41%

3. No opinion

47

06%

4. Very unfavorable 5. Somewhat unfavorable Total Unfavorable:

352 71 423

44% 09% 53%

Q8. Is your opinion of former President Donald Trump favorable, is it unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him? (Test Intensity…) 1. Very favorable 2. Somewhat favorable Total Favorable:

135 131 266

17% 16% 33%

3. No opinion

108

14%

4. Very unfavorable 5. Somewhat unfavorable Total Unfavorable:

337 89 426

42% 11% 53%

Q9. Thinking ahead to the next elections for your U.S. Member of Congress in 2022, if the election were held today would you vote Republican or Democrat? (ROTATE PARTIES) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

Republican Democrat Independent/other Undecided Refuse

234 256 227 72 11

29% 32% 28% 09% 01%

Thinking about several policy issues affecting the nation for a few minutes… Q10. When you think about the future of our country, do you think America is a nation in permanent decline, or are our best days still ahead of us? 1. America is in permanent decline 2. Best days are still ahead of us 3. Undecided

360 368 72

45% 46% 09%

(Rotate Q11-Q12) Q11. Who do you most blame for rising inflation – the economic policies of President Biden and Congressional Democrats, Republicans in Congress, or other economic factors? 1. 2. 3. 4.

Biden/Congressional Democrats Republicans in Congress Other economic factors Undecided

207 89 391 113

26% 11% 49% 14%

Q12. Who do you most blame for rising gas prices – the energy policies of President Biden and Congressional Democrats, Republicans in Congress, or other economic factors? 1. 2. 3. 4.

Biden/Congressional Democrats Republicans in Congress Other economic factors Undecided

366 54 342 38

46% 07% 43% 05%

Q13. Who should have a greater say in what is taught in school curriculums in grades K through 12 – the parents of students, or school boards and school employees? 1. 2. 3. 4.

Parents of students School boards/employees Undecided Refuse

360 336 102 2

45% 42% 13% 00%

Q14. Do you believe critical race theory should be taught in public schools? 1. Yes 2. No 3. Undecided

205 474 121

26% 59% 15%

Q15. Do you trust the corporate news media to tell the truth when covering news stories, or do they misrepresent the facts to push a political agenda? 1. I trust corporate news media to tell the truth 2. News media misrepresents facts to push a political agenda 3. Undecided

110 624 66

14% 78% 08%

Q16. Do you recall if you voted for Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump or someone else in the 2020 Presidential election? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

Democrat/Biden Republican/Trump Someone else Didn’t vote Refuse Don’t remember

385 350 37 2 23 3

48% 44% 05% 00% 03% 00%

CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE SKIP TO Q18 CONTINUE SKIP TO Q18

Q17. Do you regret who you voted for in the last election for President? [N=794] 1. Yes 2. No 3. Undecided

30 716 48

04% 90% 06%

Now, I have a few more questions for demographic purposes and we’ll be through… Q18. What was your age on your last birthday? (Use brackets below) 1. 18-24 2. 25-34 3. 35-44 4. 45-54 5. 55-64 6. 65 and older

76 116 150 152 155 146

10% 15% 19% 19% 19% 18%

Q19. What is your highest level of education? (UNAIDED) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

High school diploma or less Some college, but no college degree 2-year college degree/Technical or trade degree 4-year college degree Post-graduate degree/Masters/Doctorate studies

71 177 225 175 153

09% 22% 28% 22% 19%

Q20. Which political party are you registered to vote with? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

Republican Democrat Independent Unaffiliated Other party

304 320 96 80 0

38% 40% 12% 10% 00%

Q21. Regardless of how you are registered to vote, do you tend to think of yourself mainly as a Republican, a Democrat or as an Independent? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

Republican Democrat Independent Other Refuse

287 199 280 21 13

36% 25% 35% 03% 02%

Q22. When it comes to your political ideology, do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate, liberal, progressive, Libertarian or something else? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

Conservative Moderate Liberal Progressive Libertarian Other None Refuse

200 307 129 36 60 26 25 18

25% 38% 16% 04% 08% 03% 03% 02%

Q23. What is your main racial or ethnic background? (One answer only) (In Alpha Order) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

Asian/Pacific Islander Black/African American Hispanic/Latino Native American/Alaskan Native White/Caucasian Multi-racial or biracial Another race/ethnicity not listed Refuse

20 84 107 0 523 11 14 41

02% 11% 13% 00% 65% 01% 02% 05%

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THE SURVEY. HAVE A GOOD DAY. Gender: 1. Male 2. Female

389 411

49% 51%

USA Regional Area Grouping (coded from list): 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

Northeast (CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT) South (AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA) Midwest (IL, IN, KY, MI, OH, WV, WI) North Central (CO, ID, MT, NE, ND, OR, SD, WY, KS, MN, IA, MO) Southwest (AZ, NM, OK, TX, AR, LA) West (AK, CA, HI, NV, UT, WA)

160 166 139 91 116 128

20% 21% 17% 11% 15% 16%

METHODOLOGY, SAMPLE FRAME CONSTRUCTION AND DATA COLLECTION PROCEDURES This telephone poll is commissioned by The Federalist and conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc1. Interviews were conducted Nov. 1-9, 2021, with 800 registered voters in the continental USA. Survey respondents are randomly contacted using random selection procedures, and all telephone interviews are conducted using live telephone agents. The sample frame was drawn from a randomly selected universe of U.S. households provided by L2, Inc. of Bothell, WA, which uses census state population data compiled from certified voter registration rolls, as well as computer coding protocols to ensure the sample is both random and geographically representative of the U.S. population. Eligible respondents are then pre-selected for the sample frame based primarily on U.S. households with prior vote history in at least 1 of 4 (or better) general elections, using G20, G19, G18 and/or G17 as the base universe; new registrants to the voter rolls since G20 are also eligible to be contacted. The sample frame includes a balanced mix of both landline and cellular households consistent with the latest telephone usable patterns available. Households are pre-screened to eliminate telephone numbers on the federal Do Not Call registry in compliance with federal and state laws.

1

Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. is a nationally recognized polling and focus group company and conducts polling for political, media and corporate clients in numerous states. SP&R’s polling has been featured on many national platforms, including the Rush Limbaugh Radio Show, FOX News Channel, The O’Reilly Factor, the Bill Maher Show and MSNBC. The former internet news service Sunshine State News of Florida referred to SP&R as “one of the most prominent pollsters in the country” for its accurate polling in the 2010 Florida Gubernatorial GOP Primary Election. The website www.realclearpolitics.com lists SP&R’s Presidential Battleground Polling in PA, WI, NC, FL and AZ as some of the most accurate polling by any survey firm in the 2020 POTUS elections. CBS’s nationally televised Inside Edition program chose SP&R to profile on two separate segments due to its unmatched accuracy in 5 key battleground states in the lead up to the 2020 General Election.

Interviews are closely monitored to ensure a representative sample of registered/likely voters in the USA is achieved based on party self-identification, geography, racial background, gender, age and other demographics; results are sometimes statistically weighted to account for non-response and/or coverage bias. The margin of error for a sample size of 800 interviews is +/-3.46% at the 95% confidence level.

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